Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Does Kostyuk have an edge in second serve points recently? Yes, slightly, winning 39.61% compared to Sabalenka's 39.35%.
• Who performs better on returning opponents' second serves? Sabalenka has a marginal advantage, winning 49.65% while Kostyuk wins 49.32%.
• In first serve returns, Kostyuk outperforms Sabalenka with a winning percentage of 32.79% over Sabalenka's 29.65%.
• Under pressure, how do they fare in saving breakpoints? Sabalenka saves 52.47% compared to Kostyuk's 51.59%, indicating a slight edge under pressure.
• Who has been more successful over the past year? Sabalenka leads clearly with an 83.95% win rate versus Kostyuk's 60.38%.
• They have met three times; who has won more? Sabalenka is dominant, winning all three matches and six sets to Kostyuk's zero.
• Which surface suits each player best? Kostyuk excels on Clay with a 67% win rate, while Sabalenka prefers Hard courts with a 74% win rate.
• Their competition levels differ, with Kostyuk facing opponents averaging rank 62.23, while Sabalenka's average opponent rank is 108.32.
• In converting breakpoints in recent play, Sabalenka has a higher rate at 36.02% compared to Kostyuk's 32.06%.
• Both players have an identical 59% success rate in recent deciding sets, which offers no prediction advantage if this match stretches to the limit.

Editorial Prediction (May 11, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the head-to-head statistics and recent performances, Sabalenka appears to have a stronger advantage. Her past record against Kostyuk, undefeated in three encounters, highlights a psychological and competitive edge.

Sabalenka’s ability to convert breakpoints more efficiently and her superior win rates indicate robustness in handling high-stakes situations. She also performs better under pressure, showcasing resilience that could prove pivotal in tight moments.

While Kostyuk shows promise with a decent performance on the return of serve, her overall win rate and experience against lesser-ranked opponents place her at a relative disadvantage in this matchup.

Based on the presented data and patterns, Aryna Sabalenka is most likely to continue her winning streak against Marta Kostyuk in the forthcoming match.